Search found 397 matches

by KL Dubey
Tue Apr 09, 2019 11:02 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^Like I said earlier, the polls cannot predict vote shares with an accuracy better than 2-3%. As a result, for the many seats where the contest is close (or multicornered, ESPECIALLY in states like UP), the predictions are not statistically significant. The main usefulness of the polls, as I have b...
by KL Dubey
Tue Apr 09, 2019 2:53 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

https://5forty3.in/gaze_articles.php?articalid=219 Excerpt: Our teams have travelled across the state and we have counter checked all our findings at least three times to come to this surprising conclusion of BJP and TMC being equal in terms of voter support at this point of time. This is an incred...
by KL Dubey
Tue Apr 09, 2019 2:50 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

In the 7 southern states (including MH and GA) the NDA prospects have gone up dramatically. We are looking at 70+ seats for NDA and 40+ for BJP.
by KL Dubey
Mon Apr 08, 2019 9:32 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

The raids should happen precisely now; 1. The money now being identified was accumulated for a specific purpose, that is to bribe the voters. 2. When such raids happen now, the money is seized and the politician who had the money would have a major hit. His entire campaign scheme is jeopardized. Th...
by KL Dubey
Sun Apr 07, 2019 1:27 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Here is a useful Wiki page with the complete NDA seat sharing arrangements plus the full continually updated candidate lists: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_National_Democratic_Alliance_candidates_in_the_2019_Indian_general_election As I predicted earlier, BJP is contesting more seats than in...
by KL Dubey
Sat Apr 06, 2019 8:32 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Repeating it ad-nauseam is required when you repeat your comments ad-nauseum. Sitting in a distant land and singing praises for BJP/Modi is of no consequence, you don't even get to participate in the Indian democratic exercise. So perhaps, you should take your own advice and 'take my comments like ...
by KL Dubey
Sat Apr 06, 2019 3:33 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

I guess opinion and exit polls will be embargoed in a few days. Irrespective of people's complaints on Dr. Braveen Badil, he will be the only source of ongoing election analysis and seat bredictions all through the 7 phases. I hope he shows seat-by-seat leads for all the 543 seats. That will be a lo...
by KL Dubey
Sat Apr 06, 2019 3:25 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^JT, you have repeated all these things ad nauseam, including snarky comments on other posters as well as on BJP leaders. So best take my comments like a man. This droning on about "NRIs know nothing about the actual situation in India", "my family was so-and-so before you were born", etc. is not n...
by KL Dubey
Sat Apr 06, 2019 2:11 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Let me be one of the first (if not THE first) to stick my neck out and say that BJP on its own will get around 310-330 seats. This is based on my travels across the country - 13 states/UTs.. only 7 weeks to go! The question is whether the want for modi will translate to votes, I believe it will.. W...
by KL Dubey
Sat Apr 06, 2019 1:59 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^^It must feel good to know you were winning even before serious campaigning started. Boss I would take pollster bias into this poll. We all know Pradeep Bhandari of Jan-ki-baat is ultra pro-BJP, pro-ModiJi like me :-). I would take a large number of polls, discount the pro-BJP, pro-ModiJI and pro...
by KL Dubey
Thu Apr 04, 2019 6:40 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

The opinion polls from March 1 till today April 4 have been in the 270-315 seats range for NDA. That seems like a very solid basis for campaigning, which can easily push the tally to 300-350. Unfortunately the election opinion poll presentation in India is a joke. They give no idea about the margin ...
by KL Dubey
Thu Apr 04, 2019 6:29 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^^It must feel good to know you were winning even before serious campaigning started.
by KL Dubey
Thu Mar 28, 2019 12:29 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

About giving 72K, NaMo sarkar should state that we will punctually deliver the "72" to at least 1000 geehadeez per year. That takes care of 72K.
by KL Dubey
Sun Mar 24, 2019 4:36 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Looks like the losers Shatrughan Sinha and Kirti Azad have been jettisoned without even a mention of their names. Good job Amit Shah!
by KL Dubey
Sun Mar 24, 2019 4:23 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Sachin wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 1:43 pm
Mean while the jobless "research scholar" (?) :roll: from JNU is contesting from Beghusarai, Bihar.
Maybe Giriraj Singh's campaign would find the following slogan useful to describe the research scholar of Begusarai: "naam se Kaanha, kaam se Kans". :mrgreen:
by KL Dubey
Sun Mar 24, 2019 2:29 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^^I have to commend your patience in responding to the usual whining/pointless posts with rational replies. I am not as good as you...

I agree that what we really need is to declare and implement a 'Second Republic' which thoroughly revises the flawed model of the first republic.
by KL Dubey
Sun Mar 10, 2019 3:08 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Two latest polls are out. Republic/CVoter: NDA 264/UPA 141 Zee News: NDA 264/UPA 165 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Indian_general_election#Opinion_polling (The CVoter poll is not yet shown in Wikipedia). For comparison, the polls of 2014: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_20...
by KL Dubey
Wed Feb 27, 2019 4:06 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Pakis wont aggregate all their JEM munna's in one place with such a imminent threat so close to border, ISI would have given instructions to stay away anticipating ground strike. Well, it seems that is what they did. Pawkees thought the strike would come in POK and did not anticipate that we would ...
by KL Dubey
Tue Feb 26, 2019 7:05 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

*Ornob is on a roll at Republic TV. Intense 'bating on there. If I heard correctly, he claimed that in addition to the Balakot pigsty, two others were also hit (one near the POK "capital" of Must-suffer-bad and the other somewhere else that I couldn't catch). Is this true ? I could not find a confir...
by KL Dubey
Tue Feb 26, 2019 10:08 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Great professional job by IAF, More than 300 swine dispatched in a few minutes. Airstrike deep inside the Pawkee reservation is a game changer, not just a repeat of last year's excellent IA operation in POK. The message is that we can pick off targets at will wherever they may be inside the reservat...
by KL Dubey
Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:17 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

What is the break-up in TN? Can't seem to find it. Of the 40 seats (TN and Puducheri) I believe the deal is that BJP will contest 5 seats, PMK 6-7 (mainly in north TN, I think), DMDK 2, and couple of other small parties 1 each. Total about 15 for the previously existing NDA parties, which was the o...
by KL Dubey
Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:24 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

On a less facetious note, in LS 2014 BJP contested 427 seats (and won 282, a 66% success rate). As far as LS 2019 elections, they are almost upon us. There is now no question of "building voteshare". Obviously building vote share takes time, I was talking about longer time. But then again, common s...
by KL Dubey
Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:01 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4067644

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

On a less facetious note, in LS 2014 BJP contested 427 seats (and won 282, a 66% success rate). 116 seats went to alliance partners, who only managed to win 54 (47% success rate). If you look carefully, this low conversion is mainly because of TN where small parties like DMDK/MDMK/PMK/IJK/NRC etc co...